Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +2 | 108 | Lost |
| Massey | DAY -0.7 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -0.5 (-2.5) | 133.3 (-25.3) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -0.4 (-2.4) | 137.3 (-29.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -0.4 (-2.4) | 138.1 (-30.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -0.7 (-2.7) | 133.7 (-25.7) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | DAY 65 – 60 RICH |
| Mar 1, 2025 | DAY 74 – 64 RICH |
| Jan 27, 2024 | RICH 69 – 64 DAY |
| Jan 28, 2023 | DAY 86 – 60 RICH |
| Mar 12, 2022 | RICH 68 – 64 DAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 61.2 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#93) | 9.5 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#87) | 1.24 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#91) | 1.74 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#66) | 0.554 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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