You pay for this but they give you that. "Hey Hey, My My" - Neil Young
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference · Burr Gymnasium · March 1, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread HOW -8.5 Home covered
O/U 147.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total HOW win
Actual HOW +10 134 Won
Massey HOW -10.0 (-0.0) — —
Massey Totals — 151.0 (-17.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 67% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 79% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HOW -7.2 (+2.8) 147.6 (-13.6) 79% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML HOW -8.2 (+1.8) 148.3 (-14.3) 81% ✓
Baseline ML HOW -8.1 (+1.9) 149.7 (-15.7) 80% ✓
Baseline Plus ML HOW -7.9 (+2.1) 149.9 (-15.9) 78% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 13, 2026 HOW 78 – 61 SCST
Feb 7, 2026 HOW 85 – 57 SCST
Jan 3, 2026 SCST 58 – 57 HOW
Mar 4, 2025 SCST 79 – 69 HOW
Feb 4, 2025 SCST 89 – 66 HOW

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HOW SCST
Overall 16-13 15-16
Conference 9-5 7-7
Home 8-4 8-5
Away 5-8 5-8
Neutral 3-1 2-3
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L2 L4
Avg Pts For 73.6 69.8
Avg Pts Against 71.8 74.4
Massey -2.8 (#219) -10.0 (#316)
Bradley-Terry -1.04 (#260) -1.27 (#281)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.14 (#251) -1.92 (#301)
RPI 0.456 (#251) 0.433 (#305)
Shooting & Four Factors HOW SCST
FG% 44.6% 38.2%
3PT% 37.2% 30.5%
REB / G 32.1 40.5
OREB / G 9.2 14.4
AST / TO 0.93 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.1% 43.1%
TOV% 20.8% 20.2%
ORB% 26.9% 33.5%
FT Rate 26.9% 22.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.8% 49.8%
Opp TOV% 24.0% 20.9%
DRB% 65.5% 71.6%
Opp FT Rate 25.1% 26.2%

Game Analysis

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