Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +9 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -10.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -9.3 (-0.3) | 150.4 (+2.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -11.4 (-2.4) | 147.7 (+5.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -11.0 (-2.0) | 149.0 (+4.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -10.2 (-1.2) | 149.9 (+3.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | FGCU 69 – 58 UNA |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FGCU 72 – 64 UNA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | FGCU 72 – 55 UNA |
| Jan 10, 2025 | FGCU 75 – 70 UNA |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UNA 70 – 69 FGCU |
Game Analysis
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