Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +14 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | M-OH -3.1 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -3.5 (-10.5) | 146.9 (-10.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -1.8 (-12.2) | 149.3 (-13.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -2.0 (-12.0) | 150.4 (-14.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -2.8 (-11.2) | 149.3 (-13.3) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | M-OH 100 – 61 CMU |
| Feb 5, 2025 | M-OH 76 – 70 CMU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | M-OH 88 – 60 CMU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | CMU 71 – 55 M-OH |
| Feb 11, 2023 | CMU 66 – 60 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 2-9 | 9-8 |
| Away | 5-11 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -11.3 (#329) | -5.4 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#291) | -1.19 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#298) | -1.45 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#276) | 0.423 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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