Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +9 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -15.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -14.7 (-5.7) | 137.5 (-6.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -11.5 (-2.5) | 138.2 (-7.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -12.1 (-3.1) | 139.2 (-8.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -12.1 (-3.1) | 138.6 (-7.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CSUN 85 – 83 UCSB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CSUN 74 – 65 UCSB |
| Mar 14, 2025 | UCSB 78 – 72 CSUN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | CSUN 103 – 77 UCSB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CSUN 78 – 71 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 8-5 | 3-13 |
| Home | 11-3 | 4-11 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#127) | -10.1 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#201) | -1.47 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#184) | -1.80 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#233) | 0.444 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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