Betting Lines
| Spread | EMU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +11 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | EMU -6.5 (-17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -4.5 (-15.5) | 140.8 (-9.8) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -4.4 (-15.4) | 142.2 (-11.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -4.6 (-15.6) | 143.1 (-12.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -4.1 (-15.1) | 141.6 (-10.6) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WMU 76 – 62 EMU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WMU 79 – 62 EMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WMU 61 – 54 EMU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | EMU 70 – 67 WMU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | WMU 73 – 56 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 4-16 |
| Home | 8-7 | 4-10 |
| Away | 2-14 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#303) | -12.2 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#266) | -1.80 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#270) | -2.21 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#293) | 0.435 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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