Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +23 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -4.2 (+18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -3.6 (+19.4) | 132.4 (-7.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -5.4 (+17.6) | 131.6 (-6.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -5.3 (+17.7) | 132.7 (-7.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -4.9 (+18.1) | 133.5 (-8.5) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | VCU 89 – 82 SBU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | VCU 76 – 59 SBU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | VCU 75 – 61 SBU |
| Dec 31, 2024 | SBU 77 – 75 VCU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | SBU 67 – 62 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-5 |
| Home | 12-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 9-3 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.4 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#63) | 7.2 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#42) | 1.73 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#56) | 1.87 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#38) | 0.588 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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