Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
Detroit Mercy Titans
79 – 62
FINAL Conference KEEPS Horizon League
Green Bay Phoenix
Horizon League · Calihan Hall · March 2, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread DETM -9.5 Home covered
O/U 131.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total DETM win
Actual DETM +17 141 Won
Massey DETM -11.3 (+5.7) — —
Massey Totals — 131.4 (+9.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DETM -9.5 (+7.5) 132.4 (+8.6) 82% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML DETM -10.0 (+7.0) 135.9 (+5.1) 84% ✓
Baseline ML DETM -9.2 (+7.8) 134.8 (+6.2) 82% ✓
Baseline Plus ML DETM -9.7 (+7.3) 132.3 (+8.7) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 DETM 74 – 70 GB
Feb 7, 2026 GB 76 – 63 DETM
Feb 28, 2025 GB 76 – 71 DETM
Feb 1, 2025 DETM 67 – 57 GB
Jan 27, 2024 GB 78 – 64 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DETM GB
Overall 14-16 5-25
Conference 10-7 4-16
Home 9-1 4-9
Away 5-15 1-13
Neutral 0-0 0-3
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 69.9 61.2
Avg Pts Against 71.2 69.7
Massey -3.2 (#229) -11.6 (#332)
Bradley-Terry -0.78 (#244) -3.28 (#355)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.97 (#244) -3.70 (#352)
RPI 0.491 (#193) 0.385 (#350)
Shooting & Four Factors DETM GB
FG% 43.4% 41.6%
3PT% 37.0% 28.1%
REB / G 31.4 29.8
OREB / G 9.2 8.9
AST / TO 1.01 0.81
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.6% 46.4%
TOV% 18.3% 19.9%
ORB% 28.1% 26.8%
FT Rate 18.1% 22.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.1% 52.7%
Opp TOV% 19.1% 18.4%
DRB% 70.6% 71.0%
Opp FT Rate 21.3% 24.7%

Game Analysis

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