Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | UML -160 UNH +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +16 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | UML -2.9 (-18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -1.7 (-17.7) | 128.8 (-16.8) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -1.6 (-17.6) | 131.0 (-19.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UML -1.7 (-17.7) | 132.7 (-20.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -1.6 (-17.6) | 132.2 (-20.2) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UML 78 – 56 UNH |
| Jan 29, 2026 | UNH 66 – 61 UML |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNH 80 – 79 UML |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UML 97 – 80 UNH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UNH 89 – 73 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#241) | -4.2 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#270) | -0.97 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#275) | -1.32 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#251) | 0.476 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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