Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +12 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -25.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -18.9 (-6.9) | 127.6 (+0.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -18.8 (-6.8) | 132.3 (-4.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -21.5 (-9.5) | 129.8 (-1.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -22.0 (-10.0) | 130.7 (-2.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | OAK 86 – 74 IUIN |
| Jan 22, 2026 | IUIN 103 – 85 OAK |
| Feb 12, 2025 | OAK 82 – 67 IUIN |
| Jan 16, 2025 | OAK 72 – 59 IUIN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | OAK 107 – 59 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 3-26 |
| Conference | 12-7 | 1-16 |
| Home | 10-3 | 2-11 |
| Away | 7-8 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 51.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#150) | -21.5 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#170) | -4.64 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#190) | -5.40 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#105) | 0.337 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 36.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 26.0% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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