Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -19.0 Push |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +19 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -20.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -15.7 (-3.3) | 135.0 (-4.0) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -16.3 (-2.7) | 137.5 (-6.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -16.4 (-2.6) | 139.3 (-8.3) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -16.3 (-2.7) | 137.7 (-6.7) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | ME 76 – 70 UVM |
| Jan 16, 2026 | UVM 67 – 62 ME |
| Mar 11, 2025 | ME 57 – 42 UVM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UVM 65 – 61 ME |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UVM 55 – 49 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-23 | 28-6 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 17-1 |
| Home | 5-9 | 16-0 |
| Away | 1-14 | 10-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.7 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 61.1 |
| Massey | -15.6 (#353) | 7.7 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.14 (#353) | 1.26 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.72 (#353) | 1.78 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.371 (#351) | 0.585 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 14.1% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 80.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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