This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–12 on winners spread MAE 9.4 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
BYU @ UConn -0.3 149.0 49% 84–86 ✗
Jackson State @ Louisiana Tech +12.1 145.7 86% 51–68 ✓
Oklahoma @ Nebraska +0.5 148.2 52% 99–105 ✓
Nevada @ Santa Clara +16.1 150.7 93% 83–98 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ UNC Wilmington +4.0 143.5 64% 60–73 ✓
Little Rock @ Ball State +17.6 143.0 95% 68–62 ✗
James Madison @ Long Island University +13.7 154.9 89% 79–88 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Dayton +17.5 155.6 94% 82–91 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Elon +19.2 174.6 96% 84–95 ✓
Southern Utah @ Omaha +20.5 152.7 97% 85–90 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Saint Louis +15.1 168.4 91% 64–78 ✓
Duquesne @ Villanova +18.9 165.8 96% 77–87 ✓
Belmont @ Oral Roberts +9.3 166.6 80% 83–60 ✗
Green Bay @ Minnesota +23.4 143.3 98% 65–72 ✓
Portland @ Wyoming +14.5 152.1 91% 56–93 ✓
Sam Houston @ Utah +8.8 173.3 79% 79–85 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Manhattan +13.1 159.9 88% 73–80 ✓
Utah Valley @ Fresno State +11.4 164.0 85% 74–75 ✓
Weber State @ UC Irvine -0.8 153.1 47% 70–79 ✗
Bradley @ San Francisco +8.3 136.3 78% 64–75 ✓
Idaho State @ Seattle U +8.0 143.2 77% 74–83 ✓
Utah Tech @ Hawai'i +22.6 148.0 98% 62–68 ✓
App State @ Dartmouth +3.5 139.0 63% 85–77 ✗
Wagner @ UMBC +14.3 149.8 90% 70–71 ✓
Wright State @ Kent State -4.7 173.8 34% 72–76 ✗
Notre Dame @ Ohio State +4.9 160.0 67% 63–64 ✓
Stetson @ Western Carolina +12.3 156.2 87% 65–76 ✓
Bryant @ Valparaiso +6.8 147.0 73% 50–68 ✓
Holy Cross @ Hampton +5.5 149.2 69% 67–61 ✗
South Florida @ Kennesaw State +3.1 170.6 61% 108–89 ✗
Samford @ Central Arkansas -1.8 157.5 43% 84–77 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Maine +15.0 127.9 91% 70–64 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Fairfield +15.2 138.6 92% 82–85 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Wake Forest +31.5 157.4 100% 75–109 ✓
Charlotte @ Virginia Tech +17.5 155.8 94% 76–84 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Oklahoma State +19.7 139.3 96% 69–85 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Massachusetts +10.1 138.3 82% 77–84 ✓
Western Michigan @ South Dakota +4.1 165.5 65% 78–83 ✓
Radford @ Cleveland State -1.0 176.6 46% 82–87 ✗
Houston @ Auburn -0.6 141.6 48% 73–72 ✓
Tennessee State @ Western Kentucky +14.5 165.0 91% 82–95 ✓
Presbyterian @ Sacramento State +13.9 145.7 90% 62–64 ✓
Lindenwood @ Alabama A&M +7.4 145.0 75% 65–74 ✓
Colorado State @ Loyola Chicago -10.7 168.4 17% 80–67 ✓
Harvard @ Marist +16.8 136.3 94% 56–54 ✗
UNLV @ Memphis +12.4 169.2 87% 92–78 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Indiana +34.0 160.4 100% 61–69 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Cincinnati +18.1 140.9 95% 55–72 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.