Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | OSU -550 ND +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +1 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -5.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.3 (-35.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -4.7 (-3.7) | 147.4 (-20.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -4.0 (-3.0) | 148.7 (-21.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -5.6 (-4.6) | 150.9 (-23.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -3.7 (-2.7) | 149.4 (-22.4) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2020 | OSU 90 – 85 ND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#74) | 9.7 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#104) | 1.96 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#110) | 3.19 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#150) | 0.605 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | ND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 56.6% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 40.3% | 42.5% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 66.4% | 60.1% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 44.1% |
| FT Rate | 47.8% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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