Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | ND +210 OSU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +5 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -0.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+33.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -2.7 (-2.3) | 144.9 (+30.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ND -0.5 (-5.5) | 142.0 (+33.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ND -0.4 (-5.4) | 142.6 (+32.4) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -1.9 (-3.1) | 146.3 (+28.7) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2025 | OSU 64 – 63 ND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ND | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-15 | 21-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 6-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#107) | 9.0 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#123) | 1.48 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#116) | 2.61 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#153) | 0.572 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ND | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 43.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 42.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.78 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 12.4% | 12.7% |
| ORB% | 19.0% | 37.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 36.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 42.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.7% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.