We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Skip Chappelle Court in Memorial Gymnasium · November 16, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -3.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money ME +155 / QUIN -185
Model Predictions
Spread Total ME win
Actual QUIN +6 134 Lost
Massey ME -17.4 (-23.4)
Massey Totals 128.6 (+5.4)
Bradley-Terry 53%
Weighted B-T 48%
Efficiency Plus ML ME -5.7 (-11.7) 133.1 (+0.9) 73%
Baseline Tuned ML ME -8.5 (-14.5) 127.6 (+6.4) 81%
Baseline ML ME -8.6 (-14.6) 126.8 (+7.2) 82%
Baseline Plus ML ME -6.9 (-12.9) 130.6 (+3.4) 83%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 16, 2024 QUIN 5855 ME
Dec 11, 2021 QUIN 7347 ME

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ME QUIN
Overall 8-24 19-13
Conference 6-10 12-8
Home 4-8 10-5
Away 4-14 9-7
Neutral 0-2 0-1
Last 5 0-3 1-2
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 61.2 74.2
Avg Pts Against 68.5 72.6
Massey 2.0 (#142) -7.4 (#297)
Bradley-Terry -1.01 (#262) 0.23 (#166)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.34 (#257) 0.38 (#166)
RPI 0.417 (#274) 0.599 (#79)
Shooting & Four Factors ME QUIN
FG% 39.9% 40.2%
3PT% 29.8% 29.4%
REB / G 27.3 34.0
OREB / G 5.3 12.0
AST / TO 0.61 0.66
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.6% 45.2%
TOV% 22.0% 19.6%
ORB% 15.8% 31.3%
FT Rate 21.6% 12.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.5% 53.5%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 16.1%
DRB% 62.3% 62.3%
Opp FT Rate 25.7% 21.2%

Game Analysis

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