Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | QUIN -240 ME +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +3 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -1.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-39.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -1.1 (+1.9) | 144.0 (-31.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -0.5 (+2.5) | 146.5 (-33.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -1.1 (+1.9) | 148.6 (-35.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -0.7 (+2.3) | 148.2 (-35.2) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2025 | QUIN 70 – 64 ME |
| Dec 11, 2021 | QUIN 73 – 47 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-6 |
| Home | 12-2 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-10 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#296) | 0.8 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#286) | 0.80 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#295) | 0.91 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.333 (#309) | 0.487 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.2% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 24.2% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.2% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 58.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 55.1% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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