Cause now I wanna be your dog. "I Wanna Be Your Dog" - Iggy and the Stooges
FedExForum · November 16, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread MEM -9.5 Away covered
O/U 163.5 Over
Money MEM -650 / UNLV +425
Model Predictions
Spread Total MEM win
Actual UNLV +14 170 Lost
Massey MEM -12.3 (-26.3)
Massey Totals 168.8 (+1.2)
Bradley-Terry 96%
Weighted B-T 98%
Baseline Plus ML MEM -7.2 (-21.2) 154.3 (+15.7) 76%
Model 4 ML MEM -8.1 (-22.1) 151.8 (+18.2) 74%
Model 3 ML MEM -7.4 (-21.4) 154.2 (+15.8) 77%
Baseline ML MEM -8.5 (-22.5) 154.5 (+15.5) 77%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 9, 2024 MEM 8074 UNLV

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MEM UNLV
Overall 13-19 18-17
Conference 8-10 11-9
Home 10-6 10-6
Away 3-10 7-7
Neutral 0-3 1-4
Last 5 1-1 1-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.2 78.6
Avg Pts Against 76.7 79.3
Massey 3.4 (#114) -0.9 (#186)
Bradley-Terry 0.37 (#156) -1.45 (#286)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.58 (#153) -1.81 (#279)
RPI 0.672 (#40) 0.414 (#278)
Shooting & Four Factors MEM UNLV
FG% 42.9% 51.1%
3PT% 35.4% 29.6%
REB / G 37.0 37.3
OREB / G 13.0 12.3
AST / TO 1.76 1.50
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.6% 57.0%
TOV% 14.7% 17.5%
ORB% 34.2% 36.3%
FT Rate 22.2% 40.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.2% 56.1%
Opp TOV% 15.7% 17.0%
DRB% 75.0% 74.3%
Opp FT Rate 34.6% 36.4%

Game Analysis

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