Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | UNLV -125 MEM +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +6 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | UNLV -18.4 (-24.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | UNLV -10.9 (-16.9) | 150.3 (+3.7) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -12.8 (-18.8) | 152.2 (+1.8) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2025 | UNLV 92 – 78 MEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 16-2 |
| Home | 12-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 11-2 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#160) | -2.8 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#120) | 0.38 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#103) | 0.46 (#118) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 56.9% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 45.0% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.82 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.7% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 41.9% | 39.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 40.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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