Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | OKST -7500 AMCC +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +16 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -20.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (+15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -19.8 (-3.8) | 143.5 (+10.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | OKST -16.5 (-0.5) | 142.2 (+11.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | OKST -17.5 (-1.5) | 137.3 (+16.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -21.7 (-5.7) | 136.6 (+17.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2022 | OKST 81 – 58 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-9 |
| Home | 15-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.9 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#46) | -3.0 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#110) | -1.00 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#112) | -1.29 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#120) | 0.458 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 34.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 49.3 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 15.3 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 39.3% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 42.9% |
Game Analysis
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