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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–3 on winners
spread MAE 12.6
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Illinois State
@
Long Beach State
|
+2.4 | 131.2 | 59% | 82–80 | ✗ |
Akron
@
Purdue
|
+6.8 | 159.3 | 73% | 79–97 | ✓ |
Troy
@
Cal State Northridge
|
-2.9 | 162.5 | 40% | 85–94 | ✗ |
Miami
@
Florida
|
-8.6 | 163.2 | 22% | 68–82 | ✗ |
Florida A&M
@
Georgia
|
+43.1 | 166.4 | 100% | 57–87 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.