Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU +340 ILST -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +2 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | LBSU -1.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (+32.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -3.9 (+1.9) | 131.2 (+30.8) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -0.2 (-1.8) | 132.9 (+29.1) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -0.8 (-2.8) | 129.4 (+32.6) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -0.3 (-1.7) | 134.5 (+27.5) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2023 | ILST 61 – 52 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-9 | 14-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#280) | -0.3 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#315) | -0.54 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.82 (#321) | -0.59 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.366 (#322) | 0.443 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.9% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 24.6% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.0% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 10.9% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.8% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.