Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 172.5 Under |
| Money | SDAK -175 WMU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +5 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -3.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -1.5 (+3.5) | 154.8 (+6.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SDAK -3.0 (+2.0) | 156.3 (+4.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | SDAK -1.9 (+3.1) | 150.5 (+10.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -2.3 (+2.7) | 152.6 (+8.4) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2024 | SDAK 80 – 76 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.7 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#271) | -1.3 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#344) | 0.23 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.44 (#341) | 0.41 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.276 (#351) | 0.438 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 22.5% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 42.3 | 42.3 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.56 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 37.1% | 32.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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