Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | OMA -450 SUU +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +5 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | OMA -21.4 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (+23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -13.0 (-8.0) | 144.6 (+30.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -12.7 (-7.7) | 145.4 (+29.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -13.8 (-8.8) | 146.3 (+28.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -13.0 (-8.0) | 146.3 (+28.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | SUU 79 – 73 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 81.3 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#170) | -12.9 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#295) | -2.25 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#285) | -3.36 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.354 (#318) | 0.271 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 23.5% |
| REB / G | 27.7 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 58.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 61.7% | 62.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 43.8% | 12.6% |
Game Analysis
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