Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | SUU -300 OMA +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +6 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -4.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -6.0 (+0.0) | 146.7 (+5.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -5.7 (+0.3) | 147.6 (+4.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -4.1 (+1.9) | 149.5 (+2.5) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2025 | OMA 90 – 85 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 13-3 |
| Home | 8-7 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#200) | 1.1 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#147) | -0.23 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#159) | -0.48 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#261) | 0.437 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.3% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 16.7% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.50 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 29.3% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 60.9% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.8% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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