Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Over |
| Money | WKU -1000 TNST +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +13 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -14.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -12.1 (+0.9) | 151.8 (+25.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -15.9 (-2.9) | 151.7 (+25.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -14.5 (-1.5) | 152.1 (+24.9) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2024 | WKU 84 – 60 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 77.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#89) | -0.9 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#53) | -0.63 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#62) | -0.89 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#212) | 0.500 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 35.1% |
| 3PT% | 20.6% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 44.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 19.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 40.3% |
| TOV% | 9.3% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 34.8% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 38.6% |
Game Analysis
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