Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | WKU -1600 TNST +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +24 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -18.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.1 (-18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -14.8 (+9.2) | 156.4 (-12.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -14.9 (+9.1) | 154.2 (-10.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -15.4 (+8.6) | 153.3 (-9.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -15.2 (+8.8) | 154.0 (-10.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2025 | WKU 95 – 82 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#110) | -10.1 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#102) | -2.88 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#79) | -3.71 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#87) | 0.318 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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