Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | NEB -125 OU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +6 | 204 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -1.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+54.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -0.9 (+5.1) | 148.7 (+55.3) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -1.3 (+4.7) | 141.4 (+62.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -1.9 (+4.1) | 141.5 (+62.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -1.3 (+4.7) | 144.0 (+60.0) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2022 | OU 69 – 56 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-2 | 11-5 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#57) | 7.3 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#103) | 0.35 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#104) | 0.68 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#163) | 0.488 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 2.03 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 38.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 37.9% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.3% | 11.5% |
Game Analysis
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