Betting Lines
| Spread | SAC -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SAC -280 PRES +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +2 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | SAC -14.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAC -5.4 (-3.4) | 138.9 (-12.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -6.7 (-4.7) | 137.6 (-11.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SAC -6.9 (-4.9) | 137.2 (-11.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAC -6.4 (-4.4) | 136.4 (-10.4) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 0-16 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.6 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#201) | -7.7 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#307) | -0.18 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#291) | -0.73 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#253) | 0.510 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 41.2% | 26.2% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.6% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.