Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 171.5 Under |
| Money | ORU +280 BEL -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +23 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -7.5 (-30.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.9 (-22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -2.8 (-25.8) | 151.6 (-8.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -4.4 (-27.4) | 153.7 (-10.7) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -2.7 (-25.7) | 156.2 (-13.2) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2024 | BEL 90 – 80 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 26-6 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 16-4 |
| Home | 7-8 | 13-2 |
| Away | 1-13 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 83.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#214) | -1.8 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#278) | 0.72 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#253) | 0.99 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#86) | 0.469 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 26.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 38.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 64.5% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.2% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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