Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | ELON -1400 GWEB +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +11 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -18.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 175.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -15.4 (-4.4) | 152.9 (+26.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ELON -13.1 (-2.1) | 152.2 (+26.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ELON -12.3 (-1.3) | 154.1 (+24.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -13.4 (-2.4) | 156.5 (+22.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | GWEB 80 – 79 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 4-29 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 1-15 |
| Home | 8-8 | 3-10 |
| Away | 6-9 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 86.7 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#146) | -8.2 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#126) | -1.03 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#132) | -1.59 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#155) | 0.365 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 35.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 16.5 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 2.36 | 0.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 41.3% |
| TOV% | 9.3% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 62.5% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 12.0% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 57.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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