Betting Lines
| Spread | BALL -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | BALL -140 LR +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +6 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | BALL -17.9 (-23.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BALL -10.4 (-16.4) | 136.9 (-6.9) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BALL -12.4 (-18.4) | 139.6 (-9.6) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BALL -14.1 (-20.1) | 140.1 (-10.1) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BALL -14.8 (-20.8) | 136.2 (-6.2) | 88% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2023 | LR 90 – 64 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BALL | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 7-7 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#265) | -15.1 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#188) | -1.62 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#187) | -2.68 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#120) | 0.292 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BALL | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 43.8% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 25.5% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.3% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 62.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 60.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.6% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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