Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | SEA -700 IDST +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +9 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -7.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -4.5 (+4.5) | 133.8 (+23.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -7.4 (+1.6) | 139.0 (+18.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -11.2 (-2.2) | 139.1 (+17.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -6.9 (+2.1) | 130.9 (+26.1) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2021 | SEA 77 – 51 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#116) | 3.5 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#273) | 1.67 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#274) | 2.49 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.334 (#334) | 0.769 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.5% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 37.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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