They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–22 on winners spread MAE 10.0 44 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UNC Asheville @ Radford +2.5 148.3 59% 53–77 ✓
Stonehill @ Wagner -1.7 121.3 44% 57–63 ✗
Saint Francis @ Le Moyne -0.4 157.6 48% 81–76 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Mercyhurst -1.6 144.2 44% 60–65 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Chicago State -12.6 129.8 13% 81–75 ✓
Bryant @ Vermont -3.1 139.5 39% 55–59 ✗
Georgia State @ James Madison +9.5 151.1 81% 63–83 ✓
Louisiana @ Troy +16.6 135.2 93% 72–69 ✗
Charleston @ Northeastern +0.9 151.7 53% 73–62 ✗
Campbell @ North Carolina A&T -6.2 144.2 29% 50–53 ✗
Towson @ Elon +3.3 130.3 62% 63–69 ✓
Monmouth @ Hofstra +6.2 133.4 71% 68–62 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Stetson -11.7 143.1 14% 83–80 ✓
Austin Peay @ Queens University +8.0 144.3 77% 92–78 ✗
UTEP @ Kennesaw State +3.1 146.6 61% 73–83 ✓
New Mexico State @ Jacksonville State +5.6 134.8 69% 61–52 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Morehead State -3.2 130.5 39% 80–62 ✓
Central Arkansas @ West Georgia +4.5 145.7 66% 82–71 ✗
Idaho @ Northern Arizona +3.6 149.1 63% 83–78 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado +9.6 154.9 81% 76–95 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Southern Miss +7.0 139.5 74% 87–78 ✗
North Alabama @ Lipscomb +6.3 144.9 72% 63–75 ✓
Jacksonville @ North Florida -1.2 161.6 46% 73–77 ✗
Southern Utah @ Abilene Christian +5.9 139.3 70% 59–75 ✓
Lindenwood @ Little Rock +11.4 129.4 85% 93–92 ✗
USC @ Maryland +13.1 152.3 88% 71–88 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee Tech +3.3 148.4 62% 66–71 ✓
Western Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State +13.7 138.0 89% 66–87 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Southern Indiana +4.0 136.3 64% 63–54 ✗
Wichita State @ Florida Atlantic +6.5 159.3 72% 75–68 ✗
Sacramento State @ Weber State +6.7 133.4 73% 80–77 ✗
Portland State @ Idaho State +2.2 140.9 58% 74–82 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Davis +3.9 136.7 64% 71–66 ✗
Utah Valley @ Utah Tech -7.3 144.0 25% 79–77 ✓
Sam Houston @ Western Kentucky +7.4 158.8 75% 78–62 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee +5.7 142.0 70% 85–74 ✗
UC San Diego @ Cal Poly -13.3 161.6 11% 81–67 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Irvine +9.7 147.7 81% 84–72 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara +16.7 138.2 94% 56–86 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Riverside +13.0 142.6 88% 66–87 ✓
Pacific @ San Francisco +18.7 141.5 96% 58–71 ✓
Oregon State @ Pepperdine -9.2 146.7 20% 84–78 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Santa Clara +14.5 144.4 91% 61–76 ✓
Bowling Green @ Toledo +8.4 160.1 78% 69–68 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.