I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
36–10 on winners spread MAE 8.1 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Army @ Lafayette +1.7 114.3 56% 47–52 ✓
Louisville @ Virginia +16.1 125.0 93% 53–77 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Florida State +5.0 141.9 67% 71–82 ✓
Evansville @ Indiana State +14.7 161.0 91% 73–87 ✓
High Point @ Radford +1.4 146.5 55% 85–71 ✗
Presbyterian @ Charleston Southern -0.9 142.0 47% 68–61 ✓
Rutgers @ Ohio State +12.2 129.3 87% 72–76 ✓
Chicago State @ Oklahoma State +15.8 132.7 92% 53–72 ✓
Boston University @ Navy +4.0 125.2 64% 60–62 ✓
Lehigh @ American University +1.2 147.8 54% 66–75 ✓
Dayton @ Davidson -3.9 136.5 36% 72–59 ✓
Fordham @ George Washington +8.1 147.9 77% 119–113 ✗
Duquesne @ Massachusetts +4.8 159.3 67% 61–80 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Rhode Island -8.3 144.3 22% 74–78 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Saint Louis -0.1 145.7 49% 80–73 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Colgate +14.1 126.7 90% 55–78 ✓
Holy Cross @ Bucknell +10.7 135.3 83% 58–70 ✓
Western Carolina @ The Citadel +1.9 134.3 57% 80–71 ✗
Furman @ UNC Greensboro +3.0 156.9 61% 68–79 ✓
VMI @ Wofford +16.7 155.9 94% 85–87 ✓
Mercer @ East Tennessee State +7.9 133.8 76% 69–80 ✓
Chattanooga @ Samford +12.4 163.6 87% 74–89 ✓
Marshall @ UL Monroe -2.4 139.3 42% 68–57 ✓
Clemson @ Miami -1.5 154.6 45% 82–95 ✗
Bradley @ Valparaiso -6.2 132.7 29% 86–61 ✓
Montana @ North Dakota State -1.5 147.5 45% 96–86 ✓
Northern Colorado @ North Dakota -0.9 156.9 47% 97–87 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Omaha +5.3 138.5 68% 55–81 ✓
Eastern Washington @ South Dakota -6.1 157.8 29% 93–79 ✓
Xavier @ Villanova +8.3 138.0 77% 65–66 ✓
Stanford @ UCLA +3.8 139.6 64% 59–53 ✗
NC State @ Notre Dame -3.6 136.6 37% 54–52 ✓
Rice @ Tulane +10.0 166.7 82% 59–84 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Missouri State +4.6 146.6 66% 64–62 ✗
Indiana @ Nebraska +9.4 147.4 80% 70–86 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ VCU +2.7 132.9 60% 89–78 ✗
Kansas City @ Sacramento State +0.5 141.1 52% 64–67 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Idaho -4.7 127.7 34% 75–67 ✓
South Dakota State @ Weber State +12.5 139.4 87% 73–75 ✓
Idaho State @ Denver +12.6 157.2 87% 82–95 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Montana State +2.9 143.9 61% 82–76 ✗
California @ USC +11.8 159.7 86% 74–82 ✓
Fresno State @ San Diego State +20.6 143.0 97% 47–74 ✓
Saint Francis @ Sacred Heart +9.5 137.2 81% 67–79 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ UT Rio Grande Valley -8.2 148.0 23% 85–78 ✓
Austin Peay @ Bellarmine +2.2 125.7 58% 84–68 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.