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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–15 on winners spread MAE 9.2 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State +9.5 147.3 84% 81–90 ✓
Old Dominion @ Florida International +3.3 136.4 57% 82–77 ✗
Michigan @ UCF +2.8 136.6 67% 71–85 ✓
Brown @ Maryland +8.0 136.6 77% 67–81 ✓
Robert Morris @ Oakland +15.1 152.9 89% 61–79 ✓
Milwaukee @ Wright State +8.9 144.3 82% 75–80 ✓
Green Bay @ Northern Kentucky +6.3 130.9 74% 74–79 ✓
UL Monroe @ Coastal Carolina +6.3 145.0 73% 64–94 ✓
Fordham @ La Salle -0.5 145.4 52% 69–61 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Richmond +9.9 144.1 84% 83–56 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Chattanooga +10.0 141.0 84% 52–82 ✓
UTEP @ UAB +13.1 138.2 85% 62–75 ✓
Lamar @ Sam Houston +8.1 134.8 78% 64–75 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Little Rock -5.9 134.5 32% 66–78 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Lipscomb +6.4 138.2 77% 63–66 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Murray State +18.2 152.9 90% 81–106 ✓
Chicago State @ Grand Canyon +17.8 133.5 90% 63–80 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Utah Valley +2.9 145.1 60% 80–76 ✗
Troy @ Texas State +9.6 135.8 82% 78–63 ✗
South Alabama @ UT Arlington -6.2 134.3 25% 87–89 ✗
Denver @ Oral Roberts +11.5 146.7 84% 66–83 ✓
South Dakota State @ North Dakota State -4.9 149.6 31% 90–86 ✓
UT Martin @ Austin Peay +5.2 138.1 72% 65–62 ✗
Utah @ Oregon State -5.0 140.0 32% 76–88 ✗
Marshall @ Louisiana Tech +9.9 155.9 82% 56–79 ✓
Sacramento State @ Southern Utah +12.8 143.3 88% 51–64 ✓
Weber State @ Montana State +3.5 144.1 68% 85–75 ✗
Idaho State @ Montana +10.9 126.0 86% 54–78 ✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Tech -3.9 135.1 28% 83–69 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC San Diego +1.3 134.6 67% 83–85 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Portland State -3.9 140.1 35% 63–58 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Bakersfield +0.1 126.6 37% 73–67 ✗
High Point @ Kentucky +23.7 148.3 90% 48–92 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Bryant +4.1 149.8 72% 82–85 ✓
Long Island University @ Merrimack +1.5 131.7 59% 77–82 ✓
Northeastern @ William & Mary -8.5 132.5 25% 70–71 ✗
Delaware @ Charleston +3.4 150.6 63% 67–66 ✗
Niagara @ Quinnipiac -2.7 135.5 44% 68–77 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Saint Francis +8.7 140.0 78% 70–62 ✗
Central Connecticut @ St. Francis Brooklyn +4.4 135.7 64% 67–55 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.