Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +5 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -2.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.4 (+33.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -1.5 (+3.5) | 131.7 (+27.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -1.3 (+3.7) | 131.7 (+27.3) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -1.1 (+3.9) | 132.0 (+27.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -1.3 (+3.7) | 130.9 (+28.1) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2024 | MRMK 72 – 66 LIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MRMK 83 – 68 LIU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MRMK 82 – 79 LIU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | MRMK 91 – 76 LIU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | MRMK 80 – 59 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-1 |
| Away | 8-9 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.9 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#292) | -6.0 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#286) | -2.05 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#305) | -2.45 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#284) | 0.418 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 25.9 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 19.0% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.5% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 61.7% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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