Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +9 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | NIA -2.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -2.7 (+11.7) | 135.5 (+9.5) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -1.6 (+10.6) | 136.1 (+8.9) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -1.8 (+10.8) | 139.0 (+6.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -2.1 (+11.1) | 137.4 (+7.6) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | NIA 78 – 76 QUIN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | QUIN 56 – 55 NIA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | NIA 76 – 75 QUIN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | NIA 80 – 66 QUIN |
| Dec 3, 2023 | QUIN 75 – 68 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-7 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 66.0 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#252) | 2.4 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#250) | -0.30 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#266) | -0.38 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#317) | 0.503 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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