Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +1 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | NE -6.8 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.7 (+17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -8.5 (+9.5) | 132.5 (+8.5) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -7.3 (+8.3) | 131.1 (+9.9) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NE -7.3 (+8.3) | 132.7 (+8.3) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -7.4 (+8.4) | 131.5 (+9.5) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | W&M 84 – 77 NE |
| Feb 13, 2026 | W&M 94 – 67 NE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NE 70 – 68 W&M |
| Jan 27, 2024 | W&M 72 – 68 NE |
| Feb 18, 2023 | NE 69 – 57 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 2-16 |
| Home | 4-10 | 6-8 |
| Away | 1-14 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L10 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -13.5 (#342) | -2.3 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.99 (#346) | -0.11 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.64 (#350) | -0.35 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.345 (#350) | 0.504 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 25.9% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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