I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
Thomas Assembly Center · December 31, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread LT -7.0 Home covered
O/U 155.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total LT win
Actual LT +23 135 Won
Massey LT -11.5 (+11.5) — —
Massey Totals — 162.9 (-27.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 94% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LT -11.6 (+11.4) 157.4 (-22.4) 85% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LT -9.9 (+13.1) 155.9 (-20.9) 82% ✓
Baseline Plus ML LT -11.6 (+11.4) 155.9 (-20.9) 84% ✓
Baseline ML LT -12.8 (+10.2) 156.1 (-21.1) 85% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 10, 2022 LT 77 – 67 MRSH
Jan 3, 2021 MRSH 80 – 73 LT
Jan 2, 2021 LT 75 – 68 MRSH

Game Analysis

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