Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +4 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -4.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (+15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -2.9 (-6.9) | 145.1 (+10.9) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -4.3 (-8.3) | 140.0 (+16.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -4.1 (-8.1) | 140.1 (+15.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -3.7 (-7.7) | 145.1 (+10.9) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UVU 74 – 67 ACU |
| Feb 6, 2026 | UVU 68 – 55 ACU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | ACU 85 – 68 UVU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UVU 73 – 60 ACU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UVU 64 – 53 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#67) | 7.3 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#63) | 1.10 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#65) | 1.40 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#53) | 0.554 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 28.4% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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