Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Northeast Conference · Chace Athletic Center · December 31, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread BRY -7.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total BRY win
Actual BRY +3 167 Won
Massey BRY -4.8 (-1.8) — —
Massey Totals — 151.5 (+15.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 87% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BRY -4.1 (-1.1) 149.8 (+17.2) 72% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BRY -2.8 (+0.2) 149.1 (+17.9) 63% ✓
Baseline ML BRY -2.6 (+0.4) 150.7 (+16.3) 61% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BRY -3.5 (-0.5) 149.9 (+17.1) 67% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 11, 2022 BRY 99 – 86 SHU
Mar 6, 2021 BRY 85 – 55 SHU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BRY SHU
Overall 22-10 10-20
Conference 16-2 6-12
Home 14-1 6-7
Away 8-7 4-15
Neutral 1-2 0-0
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.6 71.4
Avg Pts Against 74.0 76.0
Massey -6.2 (#278) -6.6 (#284)
Bradley-Terry -0.96 (#255) -2.00 (#317)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.91 (#238) -3.16 (#330)
RPI 0.460 (#247) 0.414 (#311)
Shooting & Four Factors BRY SHU
FG% 39.7% 42.5%
3PT% 28.2% 33.1%
REB / G 38.1 35.2
OREB / G 12.3 10.5
AST / TO 0.89 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.4% 49.6%
TOV% 20.1% 19.6%
ORB% 30.7% 29.0%
FT Rate 17.9% 16.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 53.8%
Opp TOV% 15.7% 16.4%
DRB% 67.1% 71.0%
Opp FT Rate 17.6% 15.6%

Game Analysis

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