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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
20–7 on winners
spread MAE 8.5
27 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+1.6 | 142.2 | 68% | 55–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.6 | 139.7 | 62% | 65–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+15.6 | 144.7 | 90% | 56–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.0 | 161.3 | 83% | 68–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+19.0 | 131.1 | 90% | 50–63 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.7 | 141.6 | 71% | 77–60 | ✗ |
|
|
-10.7 | 137.6 | 16% | 72–64 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.6 | 147.5 | 51% | 65–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.2 | 126.7 | 59% | 64–74 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.2 | 147.1 | 34% | 80–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.1 | 146.6 | 84% | 80–73 | ✗ |
|
|
+8.2 | 149.9 | 78% | 49–81 | ✓ |
|
|
-13.1 | 142.6 | 18% | 62–63 | ✗ |
|
|
-1.9 | 136.1 | 43% | 68–70 | ✗ |
|
|
-4.2 | 134.1 | 43% | 62–79 | ✗ |
|
|
+19.0 | 153.1 | 90% | 56–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+16.6 | 161.3 | 89% | 61–88 | ✓ |
|
|
+17.9 | 152.0 | 89% | 85–89 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.0 | 144.1 | 37% | 74–69 | ✓ |
|
|
-7.9 | 150.0 | 33% | 84–85 | ✗ |
|
|
+20.0 | 162.3 | 89% | 71–92 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.9 | 146.1 | 66% | 69–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+23.6 | 152.3 | 91% | 59–85 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.5 | 151.3 | 66% | 68–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.9 | 151.8 | 71% | 83–91 | ✓ |
|
|
+21.6 | 131.2 | 90% | 64–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.6 | 133.5 | 65% | 71–55 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.