Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +17 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | NE -4.2 (+21.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -4.2 (+21.2) | 134.1 (+6.9) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -4.8 (+21.8) | 138.3 (+2.7) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NE -4.6 (+21.6) | 137.4 (+3.6) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -3.8 (+20.8) | 135.2 (+5.8) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | NE 85 – 78 ELON |
| Dec 30, 2025 | ELON 103 – 91 NE |
| Feb 2, 2025 | ELON 71 – 60 NE |
| Feb 23, 2024 | NE 61 – 58 ELON |
| Jan 21, 2024 | NE 84 – 72 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 2-16 |
| Home | 7-7 | 6-8 |
| Away | 3-11 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#314) | -0.6 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#324) | 0.25 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.99 (#324) | 0.14 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#256) | 0.531 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.7% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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