Bitch, I'm me! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
Ohio Valley Conference · Ellis T. Johnson Arena · December 30, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread MORE -18.0 Away covered
O/U 127.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total MORE win
Actual MORE +13 113 Won
Massey MORE -25.0 (-12.0) — —
Massey Totals — 123.8 (-10.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 100% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MORE -19.0 (-6.0) 131.1 (-18.1) 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MORE -18.4 (-5.4) 133.2 (-20.2) 91% ✓
Baseline ML MORE -19.1 (-6.1) 130.7 (-17.7) 91% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MORE -19.3 (-6.3) 131.9 (-18.9) 91% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 MORE 73 – 70 EIU
Jan 24, 2026 MORE 73 – 68 EIU
Feb 22, 2025 EIU 67 – 62 MORE
Jan 24, 2025 MORE 73 – 66 EIU
Feb 10, 2024 MORE 69 – 57 EIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MORE EIU
Overall 23-11 5-26
Conference 13-5 3-15
Home 12-2 4-9
Away 8-8 1-16
Neutral 3-1 0-1
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 68.6 54.3
Avg Pts Against 64.4 71.4
Massey 3.0 (#118) -17.7 (#355)
Bradley-Terry 1.21 (#85) -4.44 (#356)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.60 (#85) -5.67 (#355)
RPI 0.578 (#58) 0.320 (#353)
Shooting & Four Factors MORE EIU
FG% 44.5% 36.3%
3PT% 36.6% 30.3%
REB / G 34.4 32.3
OREB / G 10.7 7.1
AST / TO 0.97 0.65
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.3% 42.0%
TOV% 22.9% 25.5%
ORB% 33.2% 20.3%
FT Rate 20.8% 16.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.3% 50.0%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 16.2%
DRB% 69.5% 68.7%
Opp FT Rate 11.6% 17.0%

Game Analysis

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