Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
| Money | TULN +245 MEM -290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +1 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -7.7 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -7.9 (+8.9) | 150.0 (+19.0) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -7.8 (+8.8) | 148.2 (+20.8) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -6.1 (+7.1) | 150.3 (+18.7) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -5.4 (+6.4) | 149.6 (+19.4) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | TULN 81 – 69 MEM |
| Mar 8, 2026 | MEM 96 – 95 TULN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TULN 78 – 76 MEM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MEM 78 – 77 TULN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MEM 68 – 56 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-15 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#205) | 10.6 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#267) | 1.10 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#274) | 2.23 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#329) | 0.557 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 24.7% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 38.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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