Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +4 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -3.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -0.6 (+3.4) | 147.5 (-13.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -0.6 (+3.4) | 147.9 (-13.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -1.1 (+2.9) | 147.7 (-13.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -0.6 (+3.4) | 147.7 (-13.7) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2024 | LIU 75 – 58 SHU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | SHU 89 – 55 LIU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | LIU 74 – 70 SHU |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SHU 82 – 64 LIU |
| Mar 3, 2022 | LIU 82 – 75 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-7 | 12-1 |
| Away | 4-15 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#283) | -5.9 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#328) | -1.55 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.51 (#337) | -1.66 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#310) | 0.443 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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