Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +1 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -16.3 (+17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -13.1 (+14.1) | 142.6 (-17.6) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -12.8 (+13.8) | 145.3 (-20.3) | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -13.0 (+14.0) | 146.5 (-21.5) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -13.9 (+14.9) | 145.6 (-20.6) | 17% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | HOF 92 – 61 W&M |
| Jan 24, 2026 | W&M 89 – 82 HOF |
| Feb 14, 2025 | W&M 61 – 60 HOF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | W&M 74 – 56 HOF |
| Jan 26, 2024 | HOF 64 – 55 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 4-10 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-14 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L10 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -14.8 (#348) | 5.9 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.36 (#355) | 1.53 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.90 (#356) | 1.94 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.326 (#351) | 0.611 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 25.5% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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