Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -15.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +17 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -10.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -11.5 (+5.5) | 146.7 (+2.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -8.0 (+9.0) | 148.0 (+1.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -7.5 (+9.5) | 147.0 (+2.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -8.5 (+8.5) | 145.9 (+3.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | ORU 102 – 80 DEN |
| Jan 15, 2026 | DEN 98 – 87 ORU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DEN 71 – 60 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | DEN 70 – 68 ORU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | ORU 82 – 76 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 8-6 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#175) | -5.9 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#223) | -1.27 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#192) | -1.70 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#177) | 0.418 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 12.8% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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