Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +18 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -20.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -15.1 (+2.9) | 152.9 (-12.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -16.5 (+1.5) | 150.9 (-10.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -19.1 (-1.1) | 150.7 (-10.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -18.9 (-0.9) | 150.2 (-10.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | RMU 93 – 69 OAK |
| Jan 4, 2026 | OAK 96 – 73 RMU |
| Mar 10, 2025 | RMU 79 – 76 OAK |
| Jan 25, 2025 | RMU 73 – 71 OAK |
| Jan 4, 2025 | RMU 79 – 71 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 12-7 | 5-16 |
| Home | 10-3 | 4-10 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#78) | -9.7 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#49) | -2.73 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#50) | -3.39 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.626 (#23) | 0.406 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.2% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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