Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +5 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -8.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.8 (+24.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -6.3 (-1.3) | 130.9 (+22.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -4.9 (+0.1) | 133.5 (+19.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -4.5 (+0.5) | 133.9 (+19.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -4.6 (+0.4) | 131.0 (+22.0) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NKU 96 – 76 GB |
| Feb 5, 2026 | GB 87 – 84 NKU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | GB 80 – 78 NKU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NKU 73 – 60 GB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NKU 78 – 60 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 4-16 |
| Home | 12-4 | 4-9 |
| Away | 7-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#264) | -9.2 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#293) | -2.63 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#302) | -3.22 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#300) | 0.416 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 24.5% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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